14 Sept 2026
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Oil above $100 is becoming a prolonged risk for India, not a short-lived shock

Middle East disruptions are now hitting multiple export routes at once, shrinking the buffers that initially contained the energy shock.

Ras Tanura refinery in Saudi Arabia - historical representative file photo
Arabian American Oil Co. / Wikimedia Commons - historical representative file photo

The Middle East energy crisis has moved from a short disruption into a longer test of global supply resilience. Crude remains above $100 a barrel while pressure is building across the Strait of Hormuz, the Bab el-Mandeb route and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline.

That matters for India because the country imports most of its crude oil. A prolonged period of expensive energy can raise the import bill, widen the current-account deficit, put pressure on the rupee and feed inflation through transport, manufacturing and fertiliser costs.

The policy question is therefore no longer just how to absorb one price spike. India may need to manage a longer period of volatility through diversified sourcing, strategic reserves, fiscal calibration and faster substitution where feasible.

Sources Reuters ↗
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