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Aditya-L1 spots possible early warning signals before major solar flares

ISRO says short-lived brightenings seen in ultraviolet and X-ray observations may help improve space-weather forecasting.

Aditya-L1 spots possible early warning signals before major solar flares
Image: ISRO / Government Open Data License - India

Scientists using India’s Aditya-L1 solar observatory have identified small, short-lived brightenings in the Sun’s atmosphere that appeared hours before a major solar flare, according to ISRO.

The observation is significant because solar flares can affect technology far beyond the Sun itself. Powerful eruptions can disturb radio communications, satellite operations and navigation systems, and they can contribute to broader space-weather events that affect infrastructure on Earth.

Forecasting those events remains difficult. Scientists can identify active regions on the Sun and monitor magnetic complexity, but predicting exactly when a major flare will occur is much harder.

The Aditya-L1 finding offers a possible clue. Researchers observed brief brightenings in ultraviolet and X-ray wavelengths near the region where a larger flare later erupted. If similar patterns appear consistently before other major events, they could become one part of an early-warning system.

That qualification is important. One observation, or even a small number of events, does not establish a reliable forecasting rule. Solar activity is complex, and signals that appear before one eruption may also occur without a major flare following.

Researchers therefore need to compare many events and measure how often the pattern produces true warnings versus false alarms.

Aditya-L1 is well placed for that work because it operates around the Sun-Earth L1 point, roughly 1.5 million kilometres from Earth. From there, the spacecraft can maintain a continuous view of the Sun without the regular interruptions experienced by many Earth-orbiting satellites.

The mission carries instruments designed to observe different layers of the Sun and measure particles and magnetic fields in the solar environment. Combining those observations can help scientists connect what happens in the solar atmosphere with the space-weather effects that eventually reach Earth.

The practical value is growing as economies become more dependent on satellites and precise digital infrastructure. Navigation, communications, weather forecasting, aviation and financial systems all rely on technologies that can be affected by severe space weather.

An earlier warning would not stop a solar flare. It could, however, give operators more time to protect sensitive systems, adjust satellite operations or prepare for communication disruptions.

The Aditya-L1 result is therefore promising for a simple reason: in space weather, even a few additional hours of reliable warning can matter. The next step is proving that the signal is repeatable enough to trust.

Source: ISRO ↗